02.23
From volume driven to conversation rates – the trend continues!
February 23, 2010 The impact of volume, broadband penetration, and advanced marketing technologies in the development of online advertising in key markets. Which markets to watch out for?
Analysis
Low growths and fierce competition in many markets were the key worrying factors for marketers in 2009.The impacts of the global economic downturn were seriously felt as global media ad spend went down by -10%. In spite of the double digits decline in total media ad spend; the industry experienced some key trends that are changing the face of advertising. Among these trends were: an increased in paid search, integrated online media contents, online videos and social networking, etc. Furthermore, low conversation rates remain to be a great concern for global marketers wanting to divert online marketing efforts to emerging economies with larger online audiences. However, the likes of Latin America, Russia, China, and Eastern Europe are markets to watch out for due to the huge growth rates in online ad spend in these regions.
Landscape overview The state of the online industry in emerging economies in comparison to EU and North America.With 12.4% share of total ad spend; internet advertising is currently the third largest medium after television and newspaper. It’s expected to reach 16% by 2012.[i]Paid search is by far the fastest growing type of internet advertising in major advertising markets in Europe and North America. The US remains the largest and most significant ad market with online ad spend totalling €16,6 billion in 2008. In IAB Europe, online ad spend in the same period were 12,9 billion.[ii] In 2009, online ad spend was down by -4% in the US as Europe slightly recovers by a +2 % growth[iii]. As European online ad spend continues to grow, the gap between the US gradually gets smaller.
The advertising industry continues to evolve; thanks to advanced marketing technology and increasing broadband penetration in many regions. In the global landscape overview as illustrated below, a significant trend is outlined. Despite the fact that display advertising ad spend continues to decline in the matured/developed online ad markets, it is still widely embraced in the emerging online ad markets with less advanced marketing technologies.
The State of the Industry
Online ad spend growth rates in emerging advertising markets including LATAM, Indonesia, and South Africa are way higher than growth rates in the developed online ad markets including Western Europe and North America. As developed markets reach their ‘growth peak’ , further growth in these markets will be achieved as a result of trends in the use of paid search, online video, social networks, and other forms of content integration in online advertising. Display or banners are no longer the key focus in these matured markets as paid Search now accounts for over 50% of total online ad spend.
On the contrary, new comers including LATAM, India, Indonesia and South Africa, are experiencing a different online advertising climate as display remains the most significant ad format. A key reason for this is the low broadband penetration and lack of advanced marketing technologies in these markets that is yet to march the scale of improvements in the developed online ad markets. Use of display forms of advertising remain to play a dominant role despite the increasing popularity of search and online videos, etc.
Furthermore, in developing advertising markets with low broadband penetration but high growth potentials including Spain, Italy, Eastern Europe and China, the online industry is growing faster than those in the most developed markets in Western Europe and North America. Between 2006, 2007, and 2008, for instance, Spain’s online ad spend grew on average 57%, and was the highest growth reported in IAB Europe.
The bar chart below highlights the growth rates of online ad spend in the respective countries. It clearly indicates each countries position with regard to their growth potentials.
Moreover, many advertisers from developed countries are not really moved by the pace of improvements in developing markets especially the growing online population in key advertising markets in LATAM and Asia. They still see it as volume driven rather than ROI. They argue that conversation rates are too low as compared to the ad views. Additionally, the percentage of the online population in these markets that shop online is still very low, which in many cases is a key issue for marketers.
Nevertheless, developing economies with fast growing broadband penetration and larger online population including China, Brazil, India, and Russia are without any doubts the next online ad markets to watch out for.
For more information, call DQ&A at +31 70 300 1950 or e-mail your questions to benelux@dqatraffic.com.
[i]Source: ZentithOptimedia: Global ad market has stabilised; prospects for 2010 and beyond improving.
[ii] Source: IAB US and IAB Europe.
[iii]Source: eMarketer

